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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Chris Weidman won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1391

Elo1494

Anderson SilvavsChris WeidmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · Saturday, July 6, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Weidman won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:18

Style matchupAnderson Silva: Well-roundedvsChris Weidman: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Anderson Silva wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Chris Weidman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anderson Silva at -230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anderson Silva is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Anderson Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Anderson Silva

Red Corner

Chris Weidman

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1391

Elo

1494

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anderson SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16

vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17

vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19

KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19

KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20

latest

Chris Weidman

oldest →

DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20

KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21

vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23

vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24

KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anderson SilvaMetricChris Weidman

3.05

Strikes / min

3.11

2.05

Strikes absorbed / min

3.37

60%

Strike defense

51%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

3.27

69%

Takedown defense

72%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.00Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anderson SilvaChris Weidman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anderson Silva(10 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -103.7|Blue +103.7

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -94.0|Blue +94.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anderson SilvaTargetChris Weidman

By target zone

33% acc · 29%

Head

38% acc · 100%

50% acc · 7%

Body

0% acc

90% acc · 64%

Leg

By position

58% acc · 100%

Distance

32% acc · 50%

Clinch

Ground

44% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anderson Silva rounds

even

Chris Weidman rounds

Round 1Chris Weidman edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:52Control

Round 2Chris Weidman edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 24

Sig Strikes

16 / 43

66.5%

Sig Str %

35.5%

20 / 32

Total Strikes

26 / 55

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Weidman	11 / 27	21 / 39	1 / 2	2
1	Anderson Silva	9 / 18	15 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Chris Weidman	5 / 16	5 / 16	0 / 1	0
2	Anderson Silva	5 / 6	5 / 6	0 / 0	0

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14

Chris Weidman

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights20