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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Anderson Silva won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1391

Elo1490

Anderson SilvavsChael SonnenUFC Prediction Result

UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · Saturday, July 7, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anderson Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:55

Style matchupAnderson Silva: Well-roundedvsChael Sonnen: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Chael Sonnen wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Anderson Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chael Sonnen at +255 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anderson Silva is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Chael Sonnen has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Anderson Silva has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Anderson Silva

Red Corner

Chael Sonnen

Blue Corner

-280

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

1391

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'1"

195.58 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anderson SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16

vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17

vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19

KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19

KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20

latest

Chael Sonnen

oldest →

SUBvs Brian Stann · Oct 11

vs Michael Bisping · Jan 12

KOvs Jon Jones · Apr 13

SUBvs Mauricio Rua · Aug 13

KOvs Rashad Evans · Nov 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anderson SilvaMetricChael Sonnen

3.05

Strikes / min

3.08

2.05

Strikes absorbed / min

1.10

60%

Strike defense

62%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

3.81

69%

Takedown defense

66%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.00evenly matched on net striking+1.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anderson SilvaChael Sonnen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anderson Silva(10 fights)Chael Sonnen(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -99.5|Blue +99.5

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +154.0|Blue -154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anderson SilvaTargetChael Sonnen

By target zone

44% acc · 73%

Head

55% acc · 73%

80% acc · 27%

Body

86% acc · 27%

Leg

By position

25% acc · 20%

Distance

44% acc · 18%

60% acc · 20%

Clinch

57% acc · 18%

69% acc · 60%

Ground

70% acc · 64%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anderson Silva rounds

even

Chael Sonnen rounds

Round 1Chael Sonnen edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:56Control

Round 2Anderson Silva edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:19

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:59Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 30

Sig Strikes

22 / 36

26.5%

Sig Str %

59.5%

16 / 31

Total Strikes

87 / 105

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:19

Ctrl Time

5:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chael Sonnen	14 / 21	76 / 86	1 / 1
1	Anderson Silva	0 / 2	0 / 2	0 / 0
2	Chael Sonnen	8 / 15	11 / 19	0 / 3
2	Anderson Silva	15 / 28	16 / 29	0 / 0

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14

Chael Sonnen

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7