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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Amir Sadollah won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1387

Amir SadollahvsPeter SobottaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · Saturday, November 13, 2010Oberhausen, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany

Official fight result

Amir Sadollah won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Amir Sadollah wins(56.4%)

Actual result: Amir Sadollah wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amir Sadollah at -265 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Peter Sobotta has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Peter Sobotta (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Amir Sadollah

Red Corner

Peter Sobotta

Blue Corner

-265

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1354

Elo

1387

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amir SadollahL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Mar 11

vs Duane Ludwig · Aug 11

vs Jorge Lopez · May 12

vs Dan Hardy · Sep 12

vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Sep 14

latest

Peter SobottaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Kyle Noke · Nov 15

vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16

KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17

KOvs Leon Edwards · Mar 18

vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amir SadollahMetricPeter Sobotta

4.71

Strikes / min

2.14

3.55

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

60%

Strike defense

58%

0.57

TDs / 15 min

1.53

60%

Takedown defense

77%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amir SadollahPeter Sobotta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amir Sadollah(7 fights)Peter Sobotta(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.1|Blue +33.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amir SadollahTargetPeter Sobotta

By target zone

21% acc · 30%

Head

23% acc · 74%

52% acc · 16%

Body

40% acc · 12%

91% acc · 54%

Leg

83% acc · 15%

By position

40% acc · 83%

Distance

26% acc · 91%

72% acc · 14%

Clinch

38% acc · 9%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amir Sadollah rounds

even

Peter Sobotta rounds

Round 1Amir Sadollah edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:21

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:35Control

Round 2Amir Sadollah edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:26

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Amir Sadollah edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

90 / 209

Sig Strikes

34 / 126

42.7%

Sig Str %

27%

104 / 223

Total Strikes

35 / 127

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 5

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:47

Ctrl Time

3:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Peter Sobotta	11 / 35	12 / 36	0 / 3
1	Amir Sadollah	21 / 52	31 / 62	0 / 0
2	Peter Sobotta	9 / 47	9 / 47	0 / 1
2	Amir Sadollah	32 / 82	33 / 83	0 / 0
3	Peter Sobotta	14 / 44	14 / 44	0 / 1
3	Amir Sadollah	37 / 75	40 / 78	0 / 0

Amir Sadollah

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights7

Peter Sobotta

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9