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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Amir Albazi won · U-DEC

Elo1494

Elo1462

Amir AlbazivsZhalgas ZhumagulovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · Saturday, January 23, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Amir Albazi won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Amir Albazi wins(74.3%)

Actual result: Amir Albazi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amir Albazi at -106 American odds

+$94 profit

$194 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Zhalgas Zhumagulov (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Amir Albazi

Red Corner

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Blue Corner

-106

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-118

(54%)

1494

Elo

1462

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'5"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amir AlbaziL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Aug 22

KOvs Alessandro Costa · Dec 22

vs Kai Kara-France · Jun 23

vs Brandon Moreno · Nov 24

vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Feb 26

latest

Zhalgas ZhumagulovL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jerome Rivera · Jul 21

KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 21

vs Jeff Molina · Jun 22

vs Charles Johnson · Nov 22

vs Joshua Van · Jun 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amir AlbaziMetricZhalgas Zhumagulov

2.47

Strikes / min

5.24

3.88

Strikes absorbed / min

5.86

59%

Strike defense

52%

1.18

TDs / 15 min

1.30

62%

Takedown defense

75%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.41evenly matched on net striking-0.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amir AlbaziZhalgas Zhumagulov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amir Albazi(7 fights)Zhalgas Zhumagulov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.4|Blue -32.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amir AlbaziTargetZhalgas Zhumagulov

By target zone

31% acc · 59%

Head

26% acc · 37%

63% acc · 22%

Body

76% acc · 53%

76% acc · 19%

Leg

86% acc · 10%

By position

39% acc · 94%

Distance

45% acc · 98%

67% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

67% acc · 3%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amir Albazi rounds

even

Zhalgas Zhumagulov rounds

Round 1Zhalgas Zhumagulov edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:30

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 2Amir Albazi edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:10

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Amir Albazi edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control2:58

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 169

Sig Strikes

59 / 132

40.7%

Sig Str %

43.7%

94 / 200

Total Strikes

74 / 150

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 3

75%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:38

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	23 / 39	29 / 46	1 / 1
1	Amir Albazi	14 / 58	25 / 72	1 / 1
2	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	25 / 56	25 / 56	0 / 2
2	Amir Albazi	31 / 69	32 / 70	0 / 0
3	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	11 / 37	20 / 48	0 / 0
3	Amir Albazi	23 / 42	37 / 58	1 / 2

Amir Albazi

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

StanceSwitch

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6