Flyweight

3 Rounds

Kyoji Horiguchi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1514

Amir AlbazivsKyoji HoriguchiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Saturday, February 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kyoji Horiguchi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Kyoji Horiguchi wins(74.1%)

Actual result: Kyoji Horiguchi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyoji Horiguchi at -375 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Amir Albazi threatens submissions; Kyoji Horiguchi has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Amir Albazi has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Amir Albazi

Red Corner

Kyoji Horiguchi

Blue Corner

+300

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-375

(79%)

1494

Elo

1514

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amir Albazi

oldest →

vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jan 21

SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Aug 22

KOvs Alessandro Costa · Dec 22

vs Kai Kara-France · Jun 23

vs Brandon Moreno · Nov 24

latest

Kyoji Horiguchi

oldest →

vs Chico Camus · Sep 15

vs Neil Seery · May 16

vs Ali Bagautinov · Nov 16

SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 25

KOvs Manel Kape · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amir AlbaziMetricKyoji Horiguchi

2.47

Strikes / min

3.77

3.88

Strikes absorbed / min

2.13

59%

Strike defense

63%

1.18

TDs / 15 min

1.61

62%

Takedown defense

61%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.41Δ 3.05 — meaningful gap+1.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amir AlbaziKyoji Horiguchi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amir Albazi(7 fights)Kyoji Horiguchi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -20.1|Blue +20.1

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +385.0|Blue -385.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amir AlbaziTargetKyoji Horiguchi

By target zone

19% acc · 75%

Head

53% acc · 89%

80% acc · 25%

Body

50% acc · 4%

Leg

71% acc · 7%

By position

20% acc · 75%

Distance

53% acc · 97%

67% acc · 25%

Clinch

67% acc · 3%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amir Albazi rounds

even

Kyoji Horiguchi rounds

Round 1Kyoji Horiguchi edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:27

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Round 2Kyoji Horiguchi edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:10

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 3Kyoji Horiguchi edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control2:13

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 67

Sig Strikes

73 / 136

22.3%

Sig Str %

53%

20 / 75

Total Strikes

99 / 163

0 / 7

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:50

Ctrl Time

1:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kyoji Horiguchi	14 / 26	26 / 38	0 / 1
1	Amir Albazi	3 / 17	4 / 19	0 / 2
2	Kyoji Horiguchi	34 / 58	45 / 70	0 / 0
2	Amir Albazi	8 / 27	9 / 31	0 / 1
3	Kyoji Horiguchi	25 / 52	28 / 55	0 / 1
3	Amir Albazi	5 / 23	7 / 25	0 / 4

Amir Albazi

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Kyoji Horiguchi

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights11