Skip to content
Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Amanda Ribas won · U-DEC R3
Elo1480
Elo1529

Amanda RibasvsVirna JandirobaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Saturday, October 30, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Amanda Ribas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAmanda Ribas: WrestlervsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Amanda Ribas wins(73.9%)

Actual result: Amanda Ribas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Ribas at -165 American odds

+$61 profit

$161 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Ribas
Red Corner
VS
Virna Jandiroba
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
1480
Elo
1529
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda RibasL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23
W
KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23
L
vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25
L
KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25
latest
Virna Jandiroba
oldest →
W
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24
W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25
L
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25
W
DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda RibasMetricVirna Jandiroba
4.26
Strikes / min
2.27
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
60%
Strike defense
55%
2.05
TDs / 15 min
3.13
82%
Takedown defense
72%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.97Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1545 vs 1491Strikes4.6 vs 2.1Takedowns2.1 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.70 vs 1.70Form0.2 vs 0.2
Amanda RibasVirna Jandiroba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Amanda Ribas(10 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda RibasTargetVirna Jandiroba

By target zone

59
30% acc · 67%
Head
46
33% acc · 92%
15
63% acc · 17%
Body
4
29% acc · 8%
14
93% acc · 16%
Leg
0

By position

84
37% acc · 95%
Distance
46
31% acc · 92%
4
67% acc · 5%
Clinch
1
25% acc · 2%
0
Ground
3
100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Amanda Ribas rounds
0
even
1
Virna Jandiroba rounds
Round 1Virna Jandiroba edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:06Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Amanda Ribas edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:35
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Amanda Ribas edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns0
Control0:03
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
88 / 233
Sig Strikes
50 / 155
38.3%
Sig Str %
36%
124 / 273
Total Strikes
119 / 224
1 / 5
TDs
1 / 8
16.7%
TD %
11%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:43
Ctrl Time
3:06

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Virna Jandiroba12 / 2379 / 901 / 30
1Amanda Ribas8 / 1836 / 500 / 11
2Virna Jandiroba12 / 6214 / 640 / 20
2Amanda Ribas26 / 8333 / 901 / 20
3Virna Jandiroba26 / 7026 / 700 / 30
3Amanda Ribas54 / 13255 / 1330 / 20

Amanda Ribas

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights13

Virna Jandiroba

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13