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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Tabatha Ricci won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1480

Elo1492

Amanda RibasvsTabatha RicciUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · Saturday, July 26, 2025Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Tabatha Ricci won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:59

Style matchupAmanda Ribas: WrestlervsTabatha Ricci: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Amanda Ribas wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Tabatha Ricci wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Ribas at -178 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tabatha Ricci enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Amanda Ribas has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Amanda Ribas has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Ribas

Red Corner

Tabatha Ricci

Blue Corner

-178

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1480

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'1"

167.64 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda RibasL2 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Mar 23

KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23

KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25

latest

Tabatha RicciL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tecia Pennington · May 24

vs Angela Hill · Aug 24

vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 24

DECvs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 26

DECvs Fatima Kline · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda RibasMetricTabatha Ricci

4.26

Strikes / min

4.00

3.29

Strikes absorbed / min

4.83

60%

Strike defense

57%

2.05

TDs / 15 min

2.51

82%

Takedown defense

65%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-0.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amanda RibasTabatha Ricci

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Ribas(10 fights)Tabatha Ricci(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.0|Blue +12.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda RibasTargetTabatha Ricci

By target zone

32% acc · 60%

Head

38% acc · 68%

83% acc · 17%

Body

60% acc · 18%

78% acc · 23%

Leg

83% acc · 15%

By position

43% acc · 97%

Distance

33% acc · 59%

25% acc · 3%

Clinch

80% acc · 12%

Ground

100% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Ribas rounds

even

Tabatha Ricci rounds

Round 1Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:18

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:39Control

Round 2Tabatha Ricci edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:32Control

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 72

Sig Strikes

34 / 76

39%

Sig Str %

45.5%

77 / 122

Total Strikes

82 / 140

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 4

33%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

4:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tabatha Ricci	14 / 42	48 / 86	0 / 2
1	Amanda Ribas	22 / 47	55 / 83	1 / 3
2	Tabatha Ricci	20 / 34	34 / 54	1 / 2
2	Amanda Ribas	8 / 25	22 / 39	0 / 0

Amanda Ribas

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights13

Tabatha Ricci

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights12