Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Amanda Ribas won · U-DEC R3

Elo1480

Elo1494

Amanda RibasvsRanda MarkosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Saturday, March 14, 2020Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Amanda Ribas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Amanda Ribas wins(70.7%)

Actual result: Amanda Ribas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Ribas at -345 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Amanda Ribas has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Ribas

Red Corner

Randa Markos

Blue Corner

-345

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+315

(24%)

1480

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

167.64 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda RibasL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23

KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25

KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25

latest

Randa Markos

oldest →

vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 19

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20

vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20

vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21

vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda RibasMetricRanda Markos

4.26

Strikes / min

2.97

3.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.10

60%

Strike defense

58%

2.05

TDs / 15 min

1.12

82%

Takedown defense

52%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amanda RibasRanda Markos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Ribas(10 fights)Randa Markos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.7|Blue +13.7

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda RibasTargetRanda Markos

By target zone

46% acc · 67%

Head

38% acc · 61%

75% acc · 21%

Body

43% acc · 8%

100% acc · 12%

Leg

92% acc · 31%

By position

41% acc · 53%

Distance

45% acc · 92%

89% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

82% acc · 38%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Ribas rounds

even

Randa Markos rounds

Round 1Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control3:04

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control1:25

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control2:55

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

85 / 159

Sig Strikes

36 / 77

55.3%

Sig Str %

48.3%

173 / 254

Total Strikes

56 / 99

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

7:24

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Randa Markos	7 / 15	10 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Amanda Ribas	22 / 41	51 / 73	1 / 1	0
2	Randa Markos	23 / 51	38 / 66	0 / 0	0
2	Amanda Ribas	31 / 74	61 / 105	0 / 2	0
3	Randa Markos	6 / 11	8 / 13	1 / 1	0
3	Amanda Ribas	32 / 44	61 / 76	0 / 0	2

Amanda Ribas

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights13

Randa Markos

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights17