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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Maycee Barber won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1480

Elo1514

Amanda RibasvsMaycee BarberUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · Saturday, June 24, 2023Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Maycee Barber won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:42

Style matchupAmanda Ribas: WrestlervsMaycee Barber: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Maycee Barber wins(60.6%)

Actual result: Maycee Barber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maycee Barber at +168 American odds

+$168 profit

$268 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Amanda Ribas has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Ribas

Red Corner

Maycee Barber

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+168

(37%)

1480

Elo

1514

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'4"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda RibasL3 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Mar 23

KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25

KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25

latest

Maycee Barber

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Jul 22

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 23

vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24

vs Karine Silva · Dec 25

KOvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda RibasMetricMaycee Barber

4.26

Strikes / min

4.56

3.29

Strikes absorbed / min

2.78

60%

Strike defense

55%

2.05

TDs / 15 min

1.56

82%

Takedown defense

51%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97evenly matched on net striking+1.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amanda RibasMaycee Barber

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Ribas(10 fights)Maycee Barber(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.5|Blue +33.5

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda RibasTargetMaycee Barber

By target zone

40% acc · 60%

Head

65% acc · 86%

50% acc · 20%

Body

50% acc · 6%

88% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

44% acc · 86%

Distance

53% acc · 40%

83% acc · 14%

Clinch

67% acc · 7%

Ground

78% acc · 53%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Ribas rounds

even

Maycee Barber rounds

Round 1Maycee Barber edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control1:13

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:14Control

Round 2Maycee Barber edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:12

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 74

Sig Strikes

81 / 124

46%

Sig Str %

65%

43 / 85

Total Strikes

93 / 139

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

75%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:25

Ctrl Time

1:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Maycee Barber	35 / 62	41 / 70	0 / 0
1	Amanda Ribas	22 / 42	26 / 47	1 / 1
2	Maycee Barber	46 / 62	52 / 69	0 / 1
2	Amanda Ribas	13 / 32	17 / 38	1 / 2

Amanda Ribas

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights13

Maycee Barber

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13