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Women's Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Amanda Nunes won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1501

Elo1359

Amanda NunesvsRonda RouseyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · Friday, December 30, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Amanda Nunes won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:48

Style matchupAmanda Nunes: WrestlervsRonda Rousey: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Amanda Nunes wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Amanda Nunes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Nunes at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ronda Rousey is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Amanda Nunes has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Ronda Rousey threatens submissions; Amanda Nunes has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Amanda Nunes has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Amanda Nunes has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Nunes

Red Corner

Ronda Rousey

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1501

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda NunesW2 streak

oldest →

vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20

SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21

vs Julianna Pena · Jul 22

vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23

latest

Ronda Rousey

oldest →

KOvs Sara McMann · Feb 14

KOvs Alexis Davis · Jul 14

SUBvs Cat Zingano · Feb 15

KOvs Bethe Correia · Aug 15

KOvs Holly Holm · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda NunesMetricRonda Rousey

4.55

Strikes / min

4.17

2.62

Strikes absorbed / min

4.14

57%

Strike defense

44%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

6.26

82%

Takedown defense

50%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

4.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.93Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap+0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amanda NunesRonda Rousey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Nunes(10 fights)Ronda Rousey(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +142.5|Blue -142.5

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -238.0|Blue +238.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda NunesTargetRonda Rousey

By target zone

53% acc · 85%

Head

50% acc · 86%

100% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 14%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

0% acc

By position

59% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Nunes rounds

even

Ronda Rousey rounds

Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 47

Sig Strikes

7 / 14

57%

Sig Str %

50%

27 / 47

Total Strikes

7 / 14

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ronda Rousey	7 / 14	7 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Amanda Nunes	27 / 47	27 / 47	0 / 0	0

Amanda Nunes

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights18

Ronda Rousey

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights8