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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Amanda Nunes won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1501

Elo1497

Amanda NunesvsGermaine de RandamieUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Wednesday, November 6, 2013Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Amanda Nunes won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:56

Style matchupAmanda Nunes: WrestlervsGermaine de Randamie: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Germaine de Randamie wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Amanda Nunes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Germaine de Randamie at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Amanda Nunes has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Nunes

Red Corner

Germaine de Randamie

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1501

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda NunesW2 streak

oldest →

vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20

SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21

vs Julianna Pena · Jul 22

vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23

latest

Germaine de Randamie

oldest →

vs Holly Holm · Feb 17

vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 18

vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Oct 20

vs Norma Dumont · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda NunesMetricGermaine de Randamie

4.55

Strikes / min

2.57

2.62

Strikes absorbed / min

2.00

57%

Strike defense

65%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

0.00

82%

Takedown defense

65%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.93Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amanda NunesGermaine de Randamie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Nunes(10 fights)Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.1|Blue -4.1

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda NunesTargetGermaine de Randamie

By target zone

26% acc · 100%

Head

0% acc

Body

0% acc

Leg

33% acc · 100%

By position

0% acc

Distance

17% acc · 100%

Clinch

27% acc · 100%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Nunes rounds

even

Germaine de Randamie rounds

Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control2:41

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 57

Sig Strikes

1 / 6

24%

Sig Str %

16%

23 / 67

Total Strikes

1 / 6

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

33%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:41

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Germaine de Randamie	1 / 6	1 / 6	0 / 0	0
1	Amanda Nunes	14 / 57	23 / 67	1 / 3	0

Amanda Nunes

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights18

Germaine de Randamie

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9