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Women's Featherweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Amanda Nunes won · U-DEC R5
Elo1501
Amanda Nunes
Elo1494
Felicia Spencer

Amanda NunesvsFelicia SpencerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Saturday, June 6, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Amanda Nunes won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Amanda Nunes wins(78.5%)

Actual result: Amanda Nunes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Nunes at -600 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Felicia Spencer is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Amanda Nunes has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Amanda Nunes has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Amanda Nunes has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Nunes
Red Corner
VS
Felicia Spencer
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
1501
Elo
1494
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda NunesW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Dec 19
W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21
L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21
W
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 22
W
vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23
latest
Felicia Spencer
oldest →
W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · May 19
L
DECvs Cris Cyborg · Jul 19
W
KOvs Zarah Fairn · Feb 20
L
vs Norma Dumont · May 21
W
KOvs Leah Letson · Nov 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda NunesMetricFelicia Spencer
4.55
Strikes / min
3.21
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
4.54
57%
Strike defense
45%
2.73
TDs / 15 min
1.18
82%
Takedown defense
27%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.93Δ 3.26 — meaningful gap-1.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1655 vs 1517Strikes4.3 vs 4.5Takedowns2.3 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.70 vs 0.70Form1.0 vs 0.5
Amanda NunesFelicia Spencer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Amanda Nunes(10 fights)Felicia Spencer(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +7.1|Blue -7.1
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda NunesTargetFelicia Spencer

By target zone

90
53% acc · 73%
Head
24
23% acc · 57%
13
65% acc · 10%
Body
7
78% acc · 17%
21
88% acc · 17%
Leg
11
73% acc · 26%

By position

91
53% acc · 73%
Distance
36
31% acc · 86%
1
100% acc · 1%
Clinch
4
44% acc · 10%
32
80% acc · 26%
Ground
2
67% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

5
Amanda Nunes rounds
0
even
0
Felicia Spencer rounds
Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control3:05
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:34
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control0:07
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns1
Control0:34
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control3:41
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
124 / 214
Sig Strikes
42 / 130
58.8%
Sig Str %
33.8%
132 / 222
Total Strikes
70 / 161
6 / 7
TDs
0 / 7
90%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:01
Ctrl Time
0:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Felicia Spencer2 / 88 / 150 / 10
1Amanda Nunes21 / 3424 / 371 / 10
2Felicia Spencer11 / 2612 / 270 / 10
2Amanda Nunes23 / 3924 / 401 / 10
3Felicia Spencer10 / 4611 / 470 / 20
3Amanda Nunes29 / 5729 / 571 / 10
4Amanda Nunes34 / 5935 / 601 / 21
4Felicia Spencer13 / 3715 / 410 / 20
5Felicia Spencer6 / 1324 / 310 / 10
5Amanda Nunes17 / 2520 / 282 / 20

Amanda Nunes

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights18

Felicia Spencer

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6