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Women's Strawweight

5 Rounds

Virna Jandiroba won · SUB R2

Elo1488

Elo1529

Amanda LemosvsVirna JandirobaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Saturday, July 20, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Virna Jandiroba won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:48

Style matchupAmanda Lemos: Well-roundedvsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Amanda Lemos wins(52.1%)

Actual result: Virna Jandiroba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Lemos at -110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Virna Jandiroba has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Lemos

Red Corner

Virna Jandiroba

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1488

Elo

1529

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'3"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda LemosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Zhang Weili · Aug 23

vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25

vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25

vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26

latest

Virna Jandiroba

oldest →

vs Marina Rodriguez · May 23

vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24

vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25

DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda LemosMetricVirna Jandiroba

2.75

Strikes / min

2.27

3.01

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

45%

Strike defense

55%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

3.13

63%

Takedown defense

72%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amanda LemosVirna Jandiroba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Lemos(10 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -40.6|Blue +40.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda LemosTargetVirna Jandiroba

By target zone

25% acc · 100%

Head

29% acc · 100%

Body

0% acc

Leg

0% acc

By position

13% acc · 50%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Lemos rounds

even

Virna Jandiroba rounds

Round 1Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:26

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:42Control

Round 2Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:25

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 9

Sig Strikes

2 / 8

56%

Sig Str %

14%

5 / 12

Total Strikes

20 / 27

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 5

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:51

Ctrl Time

6:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Virna Jandiroba	0 / 1	8 / 9	1 / 1	2
1	Amanda Lemos	1 / 1	3 / 3	0 / 0	1
2	Virna Jandiroba	2 / 7	12 / 18	0 / 4	2
2	Amanda Lemos	1 / 8	2 / 9	0 / 0	0

Amanda Lemos

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights15

Virna Jandiroba

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights13