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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Amanda Lemos won · S-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1506

Amanda LemosvsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · Saturday, December 18, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Amanda Lemos won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAmanda Lemos: Well-roundedvsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Amanda Lemos wins(80.6%)

Actual result: Amanda Lemos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Lemos at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Angela Hill has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Lemos

Red Corner

Angela Hill

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1488

Elo

1506

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'3"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda LemosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24

SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25

vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25

vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26

latest

Angela Hill

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda LemosMetricAngela Hill

2.75

Strikes / min

5.37

3.01

Strikes absorbed / min

5.02

45%

Strike defense

60%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

0.75

63%

Takedown defense

72%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Amanda LemosAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Lemos(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.6|Blue +17.6

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red -2.2|Blue +2.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda LemosTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

36% acc · 64%

Head

34% acc · 52%

69% acc · 22%

Body

72% acc · 38%

88% acc · 14%

Leg

71% acc · 10%

By position

40% acc · 72%

Distance

38% acc · 69%

67% acc · 12%

Clinch

83% acc · 31%

50% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Lemos rounds

even

Angela Hill rounds

Round 1Amanda Lemos edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control1:05

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:05Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:37

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:49Control

Round 3Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:29

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:30Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 114

Sig Strikes

48 / 106

43%

Sig Str %

44%

68 / 135

Total Strikes

74 / 138

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 7

TD %

8.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:11

Ctrl Time

4:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Angela Hill	10 / 29	15 / 35	0 / 1
1	Amanda Lemos	21 / 46	24 / 51	0 / 1
2	Angela Hill	21 / 38	30 / 50	0 / 2
2	Amanda Lemos	11 / 28	24 / 42	0 / 1
3	Angela Hill	17 / 39	29 / 53	1 / 4
3	Amanda Lemos	18 / 40	20 / 42	0 / 1

Amanda Lemos

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights15

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30