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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1525

Elo1394

Alonzo MenifieldvsVinicius MoreiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, January 19, 2019Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:56

Style matchupAlonzo Menifield: Well-roundedvsVinicius Moreira: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Vinicius Moreira wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vinicius Moreira at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vinicius Moreira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Alonzo Menifield has 78pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield

Red Corner

Vinicius Moreira

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1525

Elo

1394

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'4"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Vinicius MoreiraL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eryk Anders · Jun 19

SUBvs Paul Craig · Sep 19

KOvs Ike Villanueva · Jan 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricVinicius Moreira

3.77

Strikes / min

3.15

3.81

Strikes absorbed / min

5.07

50%

Strike defense

43%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

1.97

78%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04Δ 1.88 — meaningful gap-1.92

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Vinicius Moreira(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.1|Blue -131.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetVinicius Moreira

By target zone

54% acc · 97%

Head

0% acc

Body

67% acc · 55%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

83% acc · 45%

By position

52% acc · 73%

Distance

50% acc · 73%

Clinch

60% acc · 27%

64% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alonzo Menifield rounds

even

Vinicius Moreira rounds

Round 1Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:29

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 60

Sig Strikes

11 / 21

55%

Sig Str %

52%

35 / 62

Total Strikes

12 / 22

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 4

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:29

Ctrl Time

1:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Vinicius Moreira	11 / 21	12 / 22	0 / 4	0
1	Alonzo Menifield	33 / 60	35 / 62	0 / 0	0

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Vinicius Moreira

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4