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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · U-DEC R3

Elo1525

Elo1500

Alonzo MenifieldvsOumar SyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · Saturday, June 14, 2025Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlonzo Menifield: Well-roundedvsOumar Sy: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Alonzo Menifield wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alonzo Menifield at +490 American odds

+$490 profit

$590 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Oumar Sy has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Oumar Sy has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield

Red Corner

Oumar Sy

Blue Corner

+490

(17%)

Vegas Odds

-670

(87%)

1525

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'4"

193.04 cm

Reach

210.82 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 24

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Oumar Sy

oldest →

SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · May 24

vs Da Woon Jung · Sep 24

KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Sep 25

SUBvs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricOumar Sy

3.77

Strikes / min

3.41

3.81

Strikes absorbed / min

1.87

50%

Strike defense

66%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

2.45

78%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alonzo MenifieldOumar Sy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Oumar Sy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +25.0|Blue -25.0

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -147.0|Blue +147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetOumar Sy

By target zone

24% acc · 59%

Head

23% acc · 47%

75% acc · 21%

Body

60% acc · 26%

86% acc · 21%

Leg

75% acc · 26%

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alonzo Menifield rounds

even

Oumar Sy rounds

Round 1Oumar Sy edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Oumar Sy edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:13Control

Round 3Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 86

Sig Strikes

34 / 96

32.3%

Sig Str %

36.7%

34 / 91

Total Strikes

37 / 99

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 5

—

TD %

12.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Oumar Sy	16 / 41	16 / 41	0 / 0
1	Alonzo Menifield	8 / 34	8 / 34	0 / 0
2	Oumar Sy	5 / 12	8 / 15	1 / 4
2	Alonzo Menifield	2 / 6	7 / 11	0 / 0
3	Oumar Sy	13 / 43	13 / 43	0 / 1
3	Alonzo Menifield	19 / 46	19 / 46	0 / 0

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Oumar Sy

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights5