← All fights/Event page

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · S-DEC R3

Elo1525

Elo1451

Alonzo MenifieldvsJulius WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Saturday, February 22, 2025Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlonzo Menifield: Well-roundedvsJulius Walker: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Alonzo Menifield wins(57.1%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alonzo Menifield at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Julius Walker has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield

Red Corner

Julius Walker

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+194

(34%)

1525

Elo

1451

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'4"

193.04 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 24

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Julius WalkerL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rafael Cerqueira · Aug 25

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Feb 26

KOvs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricJulius Walker

3.77

Strikes / min

3.73

3.81

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

50%

Strike defense

43%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

4.09

78%

Takedown defense

100%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alonzo MenifieldJulius Walker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Julius Walker(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +74.7|Blue -74.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetJulius Walker

By target zone

53% acc · 74%

Head

33% acc · 43%

86% acc · 22%

Body

77% acc · 38%

80% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

59% acc · 90%

Distance

41% acc · 59%

60% acc · 10%

Clinch

74% acc · 41%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alonzo Menifield rounds

even

Julius Walker rounds

Round 1Julius Walker edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:32

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:52Control

Round 2Julius Walker edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:05

36Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:15Control

Round 3Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:06

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:24Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

87 / 147

Sig Strikes

86 / 171

60%

Sig Str %

50.3%

113 / 179

Total Strikes

114 / 200

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 9

TD %

8.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:43

Ctrl Time

5:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Julius Walker	27 / 47	41 / 62	0 / 4
1	Alonzo Menifield	23 / 33	38 / 51	0 / 1
2	Julius Walker	36 / 73	39 / 76	1 / 4
2	Alonzo Menifield	31 / 56	33 / 58	0 / 0
3	Julius Walker	23 / 51	34 / 62	0 / 1
3	Alonzo Menifield	33 / 58	42 / 70	0 / 0

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Julius Walker

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights4