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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alonzo Menifield won · SUB
Elo1525
Alonzo Menifield
Elo1417
Fabio Cherant

Alonzo MenifieldvsFabio CherantUFC Prediction Result

UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Saturday, March 27, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

SUB

Model Prediction: Alonzo Menifield wins(68.6%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alonzo Menifield at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alonzo Menifield has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Alonzo Menifield has 78pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Fabio Cherant (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield
Red Corner
VS
Fabio Cherant
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
1525
Elo
1417
38
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield
oldest →
L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24
W
vs Julius Walker · Feb 25
W
vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25
W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26
latest
Fabio CherantL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs William Knight · Aug 21
L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Feb 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricFabio Cherant
3.77
Strikes / min
1.35
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
4.89
50%
Strike defense
38%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
78%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04Δ 3.50 — meaningful gap-3.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1500Strikes3.3 vs 1.0Takedowns0.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs 0.0
Alonzo MenifieldFabio Cherant

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Fabio Cherant(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +108.4|Blue -108.4
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetFabio Cherant

By target zone

3
100% acc · 100%
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

3
100% acc · 100%
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Alonzo Menifield rounds
0
even
0
Fabio Cherant rounds
Round 1Alonzo Menifield edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control1:07
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 3
Sig Strikes
0 / 1
100%
Sig Str %
0%
3 / 3
Total Strikes
0 / 1
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:07
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Fabio Cherant0 / 10 / 10 / 00
1Alonzo Menifield3 / 33 / 31 / 11

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17

Fabio Cherant

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3