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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · U-DEC R3

Elo1525

Elo1515

Alonzo MenifieldvsDustin JacobyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Saturday, December 16, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlonzo Menifield: Well-roundedvsDustin Jacoby: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Alonzo Menifield wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dustin Jacoby is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Alonzo Menifield has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Alonzo Menifield has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield

Red Corner

Dustin Jacoby

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1525

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Dustin Jacoby

oldest →

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24

KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24

KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25

KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26

KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricDustin Jacoby

3.77

Strikes / min

5.40

3.81

Strikes absorbed / min

3.92

50%

Strike defense

57%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.32

78%

Takedown defense

62%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alonzo MenifieldDustin Jacoby

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.3|Blue -10.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetDustin Jacoby

By target zone

56% acc · 85%

Head

57% acc · 74%

50% acc · 3%

Body

83% acc · 16%

89% acc · 12%

Leg

90% acc · 10%

By position

54% acc · 75%

Distance

58% acc · 84%

70% acc · 21%

Clinch

100% acc · 16%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alonzo Menifield rounds

even

Dustin Jacoby rounds

Round 1Dustin Jacoby edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:27

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

Round 2Dustin Jacoby edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:01

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control1:35

Knockdowns1

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 117

Sig Strikes

93 / 150

57%

Sig Str %

61.7%

95 / 145

Total Strikes

113 / 171

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:03

Ctrl Time

2:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dustin Jacoby	28 / 44	38 / 54	0 / 0
1	Alonzo Menifield	14 / 30	25 / 41	0 / 1
2	Dustin Jacoby	31 / 55	31 / 56	0 / 0
2	Alonzo Menifield	27 / 48	28 / 50	0 / 0
3	Dustin Jacoby	34 / 51	44 / 61	0 / 0
3	Alonzo Menifield	27 / 39	42 / 54	1 / 1

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Dustin Jacoby

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19