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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Devin Clark won · U-DEC R3
Elo1525
Alonzo Menifield
Elo1496

Alonzo MenifieldvsDevin ClarkUFC Prediction Result

UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Saturday, June 6, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Devin Clark won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlonzo Menifield: Well-roundedvsDevin Clark: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Devin Clark wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Devin Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devin Clark at +185 American odds

+$185 profit

$285 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alonzo Menifield has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield
Red Corner
VS
Devin Clark
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
1525
Elo
1496
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield
oldest →
L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24
W
vs Julius Walker · Feb 25
W
vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25
W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26
latest
Devin ClarkL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs William Knight · Apr 22
L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22
W
vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23
L
SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23
L
vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricDevin Clark
3.77
Strikes / min
3.03
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
50%
Strike defense
44%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
2.17
78%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1514Strikes5.1 vs 3.1Takedowns0.0 vs 3.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.10Form1.0 vs 0.2
Alonzo MenifieldDevin Clark

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Devin Clark(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +29.5|Blue -29.5
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +231.0|Blue -231.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetDevin Clark

By target zone

31
41% acc · 79%
Head
23
34% acc · 29%
6
75% acc · 15%
Body
56
98% acc · 71%
2
100% acc · 5%
Leg
0

By position

13
29% acc · 33%
Distance
21
34% acc · 27%
26
65% acc · 67%
Clinch
57
93% acc · 72%
0
Ground
1
100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Alonzo Menifield rounds
0
even
3
Devin Clark rounds
Round 1Devin Clark edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control3:10
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 2Devin Clark edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control3:31
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 3Devin Clark edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control2:01
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:48Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
39 / 85
Sig Strikes
79 / 124
48.3%
Sig Str %
63.7%
54 / 103
Total Strikes
150 / 198
0 / 2
TDs
1 / 10
0%
TD %
10%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:42
Ctrl Time
2:38

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Devin Clark23 / 3742 / 560 / 50
1Alonzo Menifield14 / 3719 / 430 / 00
2Devin Clark30 / 4959 / 790 / 00
2Alonzo Menifield16 / 3321 / 390 / 00
3Devin Clark26 / 3849 / 631 / 50
3Alonzo Menifield9 / 1514 / 210 / 20

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17