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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Carlos Ulberg won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1525

Elo1573

Alonzo MenifieldvsCarlos UlbergUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · Saturday, May 11, 2024St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Carlos Ulberg won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:12

Style matchupAlonzo Menifield: Well-roundedvsCarlos Ulberg: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(75.8%)

Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Carlos Ulberg is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Alonzo Menifield has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield

Red Corner

Carlos Ulberg

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1525

Elo

1573

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'4"

193.04 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Carlos UlbergW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23

vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricCarlos Ulberg

3.77

Strikes / min

6.57

3.81

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

50%

Strike defense

51%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.53

78%

Takedown defense

85%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap+2.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alonzo MenifieldCarlos Ulberg

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -47.3|Blue +47.3

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetCarlos Ulberg

By target zone

25% acc · 100%

Head

64% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

25% acc · 100%

Distance

63% acc · 71%

Clinch

Ground

67% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alonzo Menifield rounds

even

Carlos Ulberg rounds

Round 1Carlos Ulberg edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 4

Sig Strikes

7 / 11

25%

Sig Str %

63%

1 / 4

Total Strikes

7 / 11

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Carlos Ulberg	7 / 11	7 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Alonzo Menifield	1 / 4	1 / 4	0 / 0	0

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Carlos Ulberg

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights10