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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1525

Elo1494

Alonzo MenifieldvsAskar MozharovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, June 4, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:40

Model Prediction: Alonzo Menifield wins(75.9%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alonzo Menifield at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alonzo Menifield has 37pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Alonzo Menifield has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield

Red Corner

Askar Mozharov

Blue Corner

-275

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1525

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Askar MozharovNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricAskar Mozharov

3.77

Strikes / min

0.43

3.81

Strikes absorbed / min

4.07

50%

Strike defense

13%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.00

78%

Takedown defense

33%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04Δ 3.60 — meaningful gap-3.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alonzo MenifieldAskar Mozharov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Askar Mozharov(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +31.1|Blue -31.1

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alonzo MenifieldTargetAskar Mozharov

By target zone

86% acc · 95%

Head

11% acc · 50%

100% acc · 5%

Body

50% acc · 50%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 16%

Distance

18% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 84%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alonzo Menifield rounds

even

Askar Mozharov rounds

Round 1Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control4:19

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 22

Sig Strikes

2 / 11

86%

Sig Str %

18%

55 / 59

Total Strikes

11 / 20

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

66%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:19

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Askar Mozharov	2 / 11	11 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Alonzo Menifield	19 / 22	55 / 59	2 / 3	0

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17

Askar Mozharov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights1