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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1502

Allen CrowdervsJairzinho RozenstruikUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, June 22, 2019Greenville, South Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:09

Style matchupAllen Crowder: Submission grapplervsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker

Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.

Model Prediction: Allen Crowder wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Allen Crowder at +190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Allen Crowder has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Allen Crowder has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Allen Crowder

Red Corner

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1492

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Allen Crowder

oldest →

KOvs Justin Willis · Dec 17

vs Greg Hardy · Jan 19

latest

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23

KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24

vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Allen CrowderMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik

2.95

Strikes / min

3.48

2.95

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

56%

Strike defense

52%

1.85

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

72%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

0.00evenly matched on net striking+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Allen CrowderJairzinho Rozenstruik

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Allen Crowder(3 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.8|Blue +10.8

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Allen CrowderTargetJairzinho Rozenstruik

By target zone

0% acc

Head

100% acc · 75%

Body

100% acc · 25%

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

100% acc · 25%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 75%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Allen Crowder rounds

even

Jairzinho Rozenstruik rounds

Round 1Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 1

Sig Strikes

4 / 4

Sig Str %

100%

0 / 1

Total Strikes

4 / 4

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	4 / 4	4 / 4	0 / 0	0
1	Allen Crowder	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0	0

Allen Crowder

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15