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Featherweight
5 Rounds
Aljamain Sterling won · Decision R5
Elo1524
Aljamain Sterling
Elo1526

Aljamain SterlingvsYoussef ZalalUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Aljamain Sterling won

Decision · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupAljamain Sterling: WrestlervsYoussef Zalal: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Aljamain Sterling wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Youssef Zalal enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Aljamain Sterling
Red Corner
VS
Youssef Zalal
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1524
Elo
1526
37
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aljamain Sterling
oldest →
W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23
W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24
L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24
W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25
latest
Youssef ZalalW5 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Billy Quarantillo · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24
W
SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24
W
vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aljamain SterlingMetricYoussef Zalal
4.26
Strikes / min
2.78
2.15
Strikes absorbed / min
1.79
59%
Strike defense
64%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
1.84
44%
Takedown defense
55%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.11Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.99
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Aljamain Sterling

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights23

Youssef Zalal

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11