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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aljamain Sterling won · SUB R2

Elo1524

Elo1409

Aljamain SterlingvsJohnny EduardoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Thursday, December 10, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aljamain Sterling won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:18

Style matchupAljamain Sterling: WrestlervsJohnny Eduardo: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Aljamain Sterling wins(86.2%)

Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aljamain Sterling at -640 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Aljamain Sterling

Red Corner

Johnny Eduardo

Blue Corner

-640

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+470

(18%)

1524

Elo

1409

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aljamain SterlingW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23

vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24

vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24

vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25

DECvs Youssef Zalal · Apr 26

latest

Johnny EduardoL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · May 14

KOvs Manvel Gamburyan · Nov 16

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17

SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Jun 18

SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aljamain SterlingMetricJohnny Eduardo

4.26

Strikes / min

2.95

2.15

Strikes absorbed / min

3.22

59%

Strike defense

63%

2.54

TDs / 15 min

0.22

44%

Takedown defense

58%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.11Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Aljamain SterlingJohnny Eduardo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +115.4|Blue -115.4

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -343.0|Blue +343.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aljamain SterlingTargetJohnny Eduardo

By target zone

35% acc · 61%

Head

0% acc

43% acc · 26%

Body

0% acc

43% acc · 13%

Leg

50% acc · 100%

By position

26% acc · 43%

Distance

17% acc · 100%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

57% acc · 52%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aljamain Sterling rounds

even

Johnny Eduardo rounds

Round 1Aljamain Sterling edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control2:17

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Aljamain Sterling edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control1:11

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 61

Sig Strikes

4 / 24

31.5%

Sig Str %

25%

49 / 90

Total Strikes

7 / 27

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:28

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Eduardo	2 / 5	5 / 8	0 / 0	0
1	Aljamain Sterling	3 / 20	24 / 43	1 / 1	0
2	Johnny Eduardo	2 / 19	2 / 19	0 / 0	0
2	Aljamain Sterling	20 / 41	25 / 47	1 / 1	1

Aljamain Sterling

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights23

Johnny Eduardo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8