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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Aliaskhab Khizriev won · SUB R2

Elo1496

Elo1482

Aliaskhab KhizrievvsDenis TiuliulinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Saturday, March 26, 2022Columbus, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Aliaskhab Khizriev won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:58

Style matchupAliaskhab Khizriev: WrestlervsDenis Tiuliulin: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Aliaskhab Khizriev wins(92.4%)

Actual result: Aliaskhab Khizriev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aliaskhab Khizriev at -1000 American odds

+$10 profit

$110 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Aliaskhab Khizriev threatens submissions; Denis Tiuliulin has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Aliaskhab Khizriev has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Aliaskhab Khizriev has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Aliaskhab Khizriev (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Aliaskhab Khizriev

Red Corner

Denis Tiuliulin

Blue Corner

-1000

(91%)

Vegas Odds

+650

(13%)

1496

Elo

1482

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aliaskhab KhizrievNo prior UFC fights on record.

Denis TiuliulinL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jamie Pickett · Sep 22

SUBvs JunYong Park · Feb 23

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Aug 23

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Nov 23

vs Sedriques Dumas · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aliaskhab KhizrievMetricDenis Tiuliulin

6.01

Strikes / min

3.61

4.38

Strikes absorbed / min

5.23

61%

Strike defense

38%

5.64

TDs / 15 min

0.96

100%

Takedown defense

72%

3.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.63Δ 3.25 — meaningful gap-1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Aliaskhab KhizrievDenis Tiuliulin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aliaskhab Khizriev(1 fights)Denis Tiuliulin(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aliaskhab KhizrievTargetDenis Tiuliulin

By target zone

58% acc · 74%

Head

36% acc · 90%

80% acc · 19%

Body

75% acc · 10%

75% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

59% acc · 79%

Distance

38% acc · 97%

33% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

100% acc · 19%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aliaskhab Khizriev rounds

even

Denis Tiuliulin rounds

Round 1Aliaskhab Khizriev edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control2:29

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Aliaskhab Khizriev edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:17

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 67

Sig Strikes

31 / 82

62%

Sig Str %

38%

54 / 79

Total Strikes

43 / 94

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

75%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:46

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Denis Tiuliulin	17 / 47	29 / 59	0 / 1	0
1	Aliaskhab Khizriev	29 / 46	41 / 58	1 / 2	0
2	Denis Tiuliulin	14 / 35	14 / 35	0 / 0	0
2	Aliaskhab Khizriev	13 / 21	13 / 21	1 / 1	1

Aliaskhab Khizriev

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights1

Denis Tiuliulin

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights6