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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Viviane Araujo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1497

Alexis DavisvsViviane AraujoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Saturday, July 27, 2019Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Viviane Araujo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlexis Davis: Pressure fightervsViviane Araujo: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Viviane Araujo wins(65.4%)

Actual result: Viviane Araujo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viviane Araujo at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viviane Araujo has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alexis Davis

Red Corner

Viviane Araujo

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1495

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexis Davis

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jul 18

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19

vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22

latest

Viviane Araujo

oldest →

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23

vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23

vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24

vs Karine Silva · Nov 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexis DavisMetricViviane Araujo

4.63

Strikes / min

3.84

4.45

Strikes absorbed / min

4.83

54%

Strike defense

55%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

1.72

34%

Takedown defense

75%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexis DavisViviane Araujo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexis Davis(10 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.1|Blue +2.1

Recent Form

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexis DavisTargetViviane Araujo

By target zone

38% acc · 49%

Head

41% acc · 78%

61% acc · 29%

Body

71% acc · 18%

94% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

48% acc · 78%

Distance

44% acc · 96%

40% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

75% acc · 13%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexis Davis rounds

even

Viviane Araujo rounds

Round 1Viviane Araujo edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

35Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control2:50

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 3Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:57

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:26Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 137

Sig Strikes

67 / 148

49.7%

Sig Str %

44%

134 / 213

Total Strikes

79 / 162

0 / 4

TDs

2 / 2

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:47

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Viviane Araujo	35 / 65	35 / 66	1 / 1
1	Alexis Davis	26 / 58	26 / 58	0 / 1
2	Viviane Araujo	15 / 33	20 / 38	1 / 1
2	Alexis Davis	19 / 36	67 / 91	0 / 1
3	Viviane Araujo	17 / 50	24 / 58	0 / 0
3	Alexis Davis	23 / 43	41 / 64	0 / 2

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights13