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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Alexis Davis won · U-DEC

Elo1495

Elo1420

Alexis DavisvsSabina MazoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Saturday, February 27, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alexis Davis won

U-DEC

Style matchupAlexis Davis: Pressure fightervsSabina Mazo: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Sabina Mazo wins(82.1%)

Actual result: Alexis Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sabina Mazo at -215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sabina Mazo has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alexis Davis

Red Corner

Sabina Mazo

Blue Corner

+178

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-215

(68%)

1495

Elo

1420

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexis Davis

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jul 18

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19

vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22

latest

Sabina MazoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Shana Dobson · Aug 19

vs JJ Aldrich · Jan 20

SUBvs Justine Kish · Sep 20

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Oct 21

SUBvs Miranda Maverick · Mar 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexis DavisMetricSabina Mazo

4.63

Strikes / min

6.10

4.45

Strikes absorbed / min

4.35

54%

Strike defense

57%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

0.65

34%

Takedown defense

59%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap+1.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexis DavisSabina Mazo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexis Davis(10 fights)Sabina Mazo(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +75.0|Blue -75.0

Recent Form

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +413.0|Blue -413.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexis DavisTargetSabina Mazo

By target zone

22% acc · 16%

Head

34% acc · 78%

80% acc · 8%

Body

71% acc · 8%

90% acc · 76%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

59% acc · 94%

Distance

39% acc · 100%

Clinch

60% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexis Davis rounds

even

Sabina Mazo rounds

Round 1Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control3:51

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sabina Mazo edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns1

Control0:24

47Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control4:35

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 83

Sig Strikes

64 / 165

48.3%

Sig Str %

39%

128 / 196

Total Strikes

71 / 173

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

8:50

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sabina Mazo	13 / 38	13 / 38	0 / 0
1	Alexis Davis	6 / 16	39 / 61	1 / 1
2	Sabina Mazo	47 / 118	48 / 119	0 / 1
2	Alexis Davis	40 / 60	50 / 72	1 / 1
3	Sabina Mazo	4 / 9	10 / 16	0 / 0
3	Alexis Davis	3 / 7	39 / 63	1 / 1

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Sabina Mazo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7