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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · U-DEC R3
Elo1495
Alexis Davis
Elo1497

Alexis DavisvsKatlyn ChookagianUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, July 28, 2018Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Katlyn Chookagian wins(57.8%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Katlyn Chookagian at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Alexis Davis
Red Corner
VS
Katlyn Chookagian
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
1495
Elo
1497
41
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexis Davis
oldest →
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19
L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19
W
vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21
W
vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22
latest
Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexis DavisMetricKatlyn Chookagian
4.63
Strikes / min
—
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
Strike defense
—
0.95
TDs / 15 min
—
34%
Takedown defense
—
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1556 vs 1529Strikes34.8 vs 60.0Takedowns0.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.13 vs 0.25Form0.6 vs 0.7
Alexis DavisKatlyn Chookagian

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alexis Davis(10 fights)Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.6|Blue +2.6
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12