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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Alexis Davis won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1487

Alexis DavisvsJulija StoliarenkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Saturday, February 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alexis Davis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Alexis Davis wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Alexis Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Julija Stoliarenko has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alexis Davis

Red Corner

Julija Stoliarenko

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1495

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexis Davis

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jul 18

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19

vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19

vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21

latest

Julija StoliarenkoL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jul 22

KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Oct 22

SUBvs Molly McCann · Jul 23

KOvs Luana Carolina · Feb 24

vs Gabriella Fernandes · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexis DavisMetricJulija Stoliarenko

4.63

Strikes / min

2.74

4.45

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

54%

Strike defense

46%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

0.78

34%

Takedown defense

54%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap-1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexis DavisJulija Stoliarenko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexis Davis(10 fights)Julija Stoliarenko(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.5|Blue -7.5

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexis DavisTargetJulija Stoliarenko

By target zone

64% acc · 65%

Head

43% acc · 71%

75% acc · 11%

Body

82% acc · 25%

95% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

64% acc · 48%

Distance

47% acc · 91%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

78% acc · 51%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexis Davis rounds

even

Julija Stoliarenko rounds

Round 1Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control4:52

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Julija Stoliarenko edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

45Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control4:17

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

85 / 120

Sig Strikes

56 / 113

73.3%

Sig Str %

67.7%

171 / 218

Total Strikes

93 / 154

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:09

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Julija Stoliarenko	3 / 3	20 / 23	0 / 0	3
1	Alexis Davis	22 / 26	63 / 75	1 / 1	0
2	Julija Stoliarenko	45 / 96	45 / 96	0 / 0	0
2	Alexis Davis	38 / 60	38 / 60	0 / 0	0
3	Julija Stoliarenko	8 / 14	28 / 35	0 / 0	0
3	Alexis Davis	25 / 34	70 / 83	0 / 0	0

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Julija Stoliarenko

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9