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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Alexis Davis won · S-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1428

Alexis DavisvsJessica EyeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · Saturday, February 22, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alexis Davis won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlexis Davis: Pressure fightervsJessica Eye: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Alexis Davis wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Alexis Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexis Davis at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jessica Eye has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alexis Davis

Red Corner

Jessica Eye

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1495

Elo

1428

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexis Davis

oldest →

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19

vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19

vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22

latest

Jessica EyeL4 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexis DavisMetricJessica Eye

4.63

Strikes / min

3.86

4.45

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

54%

Strike defense

55%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

0.58

34%

Takedown defense

57%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexis DavisJessica Eye

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexis Davis(10 fights)Jessica Eye(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +66.4|Blue -66.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexis DavisTargetJessica Eye

By target zone

39% acc · 47%

Head

40% acc · 83%

50% acc · 11%

Body

0% acc

59% acc · 42%

Leg

62% acc · 17%

By position

44% acc · 75%

Distance

41% acc · 85%

50% acc · 13%

Clinch

54% acc · 15%

75% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexis Davis rounds

even

Jessica Eye rounds

Round 1Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control0:58

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:09Control

Round 2Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control3:55

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 113

Sig Strikes

47 / 111

45%

Sig Str %

51.7%

112 / 175

Total Strikes

69 / 135

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

66.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:53

Ctrl Time

1:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jessica Eye	13 / 33	27 / 49	0 / 0
1	Alexis Davis	16 / 35	36 / 56	1 / 1
2	Jessica Eye	7 / 9	15 / 17	0 / 0
2	Alexis Davis	6 / 14	44 / 54	1 / 1
3	Jessica Eye	27 / 69	27 / 69	0 / 0
3	Alexis Davis	31 / 64	32 / 65	0 / 1

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15