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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alexis Davis won · U-DEC R3
Elo1495
Alexis Davis
Elo1491
Cindy Dandois

Alexis DavisvsCindy DandoisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · Saturday, April 22, 2017Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Alexis Davis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlexis Davis: Pressure fightervsCindy Dandois: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Alexis Davis wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Alexis Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexis Davis at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alexis Davis has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alexis Davis
Red Corner
VS
Cindy Dandois
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1495
Elo
1491
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexis Davis
oldest →
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19
L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19
W
vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21
W
vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22
latest
Cindy DandoisNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexis DavisMetricCindy Dandois
4.63
Strikes / min
3.13
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
3.40
54%
Strike defense
58%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
5.00
34%
Takedown defense
0%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1527 vs 1500Strikes34.0 vs Takedowns0.7 vs Sub Atts0.83 vs Form-0.6 vs 0.0
Alexis DavisCindy Dandois

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alexis Davis(10 fights)Cindy Dandois(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +4.1|Blue -4.1
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red -47.7|Blue +47.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexis DavisTargetCindy Dandois

By target zone

21
24% acc · 41%
Head
34
27% acc · 72%
17
81% acc · 33%
Body
6
75% acc · 13%
13
93% acc · 25%
Leg
7
54% acc · 15%

By position

35
34% acc · 69%
Distance
28
25% acc · 60%
9
100% acc · 18%
Clinch
8
44% acc · 17%
7
70% acc · 14%
Ground
11
79% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Alexis Davis rounds
1
even
2
Cindy Dandois rounds
Round 1Cindy Dandois edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:25
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:31Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control1:19
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:55Control
Round 3Cindy Dandois edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:13Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
51 / 123
Sig Strikes
47 / 146
44%
Sig Str %
36.7%
115 / 192
Total Strikes
100 / 212
0 / 0
TDs
5 / 9
TD %
73.3%
2
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
2:44
Ctrl Time
6:39

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cindy Dandois7 / 1327 / 421 / 10
1Alexis Davis7 / 1226 / 340 / 00
2Cindy Dandois28 / 8235 / 891 / 50
2Alexis Davis31 / 6655 / 900 / 00
3Cindy Dandois12 / 5138 / 813 / 30
3Alexis Davis13 / 4534 / 680 / 02

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14

Cindy Dandois

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach
Fights1