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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alexandr Romanov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1467

Alexandr RomanovvsBlagoy IvanovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Saturday, July 1, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alexandr Romanov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlexandr Romanov: WrestlervsBlagoy Ivanov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Alexandr Romanov wins(80.2%)

Actual result: Alexandr Romanov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Blagoy Ivanov has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alexandr Romanov

Red Corner

Blagoy Ivanov

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1506

Elo

1467

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexandr Romanov

oldest →

SUBvs Chase Sherman · Apr 22

vs Marcin Tybura · Aug 22

KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 23

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · Jun 24

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 24

latest

Blagoy Ivanov

oldest →

vs Tai Tuivasa · Jun 19

vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 19

vs Augusto Sakai · May 20

vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 22

vs Marcin Tybura · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexandr RomanovMetricBlagoy Ivanov

3.78

Strikes / min

3.25

2.13

Strikes absorbed / min

4.20

54%

Strike defense

53%

4.49

TDs / 15 min

0.69

28%

Takedown defense

61%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.65Δ 2.60 — meaningful gap-0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexandr RomanovBlagoy Ivanov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexandr Romanov(10 fights)Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +39.8|Blue -39.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexandr RomanovTargetBlagoy Ivanov

By target zone

43% acc · 61%

Head

37% acc · 86%

100% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 11%

100% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

54% acc · 87%

Distance

41% acc · 100%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

54% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexandr Romanov rounds

even

Blagoy Ivanov rounds

Round 1Alexandr Romanov edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:07

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alexandr Romanov edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control1:43

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexandr Romanov edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns1

Control1:03

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

85 / 154

Sig Strikes

44 / 108

54.3%

Sig Str %

39.7%

104 / 180

Total Strikes

44 / 108

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

66.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:53

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Blagoy Ivanov	13 / 29	13 / 29	0 / 0
1	Alexandr Romanov	17 / 31	17 / 31	0 / 1
2	Blagoy Ivanov	9 / 28	9 / 28	0 / 0
2	Alexandr Romanov	22 / 41	38 / 64	1 / 1
3	Blagoy Ivanov	22 / 51	22 / 51	0 / 0
3	Alexandr Romanov	46 / 82	49 / 85	1 / 1

Alexandr Romanov

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Blagoy Ivanov

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8