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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Alexander Yakovlev won · SUB R2

Elo1391

Elo1426

Alexander YakovlevvsAlex Da SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Saturday, April 20, 2019Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia

Official fight result

Alexander Yakovlev won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:10

Model Prediction: Alexander Yakovlev wins(60.5%)

Actual result: Alexander Yakovlev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexander Yakovlev at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Yakovlev (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Yakovlev

Red Corner

Alex Da Silva

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1391

Elo

1426

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'8"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexander YakovlevL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs George Sullivan · Jan 16

vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 16

SUBvs Zak Cummings · Nov 16

vs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 19

SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Oct 20

latest

Alex Da SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kazula Vargas · Aug 19

vs Brad Riddell · Sep 20

vs Joe Solecki · Jun 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexander YakovlevMetricAlex Da Silva

1.74

Strikes / min

2.14

2.41

Strikes absorbed / min

2.52

58%

Strike defense

56%

1.66

TDs / 15 min

1.97

72%

Takedown defense

76%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.67evenly matched on net striking-0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexander YakovlevAlex Da Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexander Yakovlev(9 fights)Alex Da Silva(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -35.9|Blue +35.9

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexander YakovlevTargetAlex Da Silva

By target zone

64% acc · 64%

Head

21% acc · 38%

100% acc · 29%

Body

100% acc · 38%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

33% acc · 14%

Distance

18% acc · 25%

100% acc · 36%

Clinch

100% acc · 38%

88% acc · 50%

Ground

60% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexander Yakovlev rounds

even

Alex Da Silva rounds

Round 1Alex Da Silva edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control1:12

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:32Control

Round 2Alexander Yakovlev edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control1:01

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:58Control

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 19

Sig Strikes

8 / 19

73.5%

Sig Str %

38%

18 / 23

Total Strikes

10 / 23

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

2:13

Ctrl Time

4:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Da Silva	7 / 16	8 / 17	1 / 3	0
1	Alexander Yakovlev	7 / 10	9 / 12	0 / 1	0
2	Alex Da Silva	1 / 3	2 / 6	0 / 0	0
2	Alexander Yakovlev	7 / 9	9 / 11	1 / 1	1

Alexander Yakovlev

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Alex Da Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4