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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alexander Volkov won · KO/TKO

Elo1535

Elo1402

Alexander VolkovvsWalt HarrisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Saturday, October 24, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Alexander Volkov won

KO/TKO

Style matchupAlexander Volkov: Well-roundedvsWalt Harris: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Alexander Volkov wins(77.3%)

Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexander Volkov at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Volkov

Red Corner

Walt Harris

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1535

Elo

1402

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'7"

Height

6'5"

203.2 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexander VolkovW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24

vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24

vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25

DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26

latest

Walt HarrisL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Spitz · Jun 18

KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19

KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexander VolkovMetricWalt Harris

4.84

Strikes / min

3.05

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

54%

Strike defense

54%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.29

68%

Takedown defense

70%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.94Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexander VolkovWalt Harris

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.8|Blue -133.8

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexander VolkovTargetWalt Harris

By target zone

54% acc · 71%

Head

16% acc · 44%

100% acc · 24%

Body

56% acc · 31%

67% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

61% acc · 93%

Distance

29% acc · 100%

75% acc · 7%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexander Volkov rounds

even

Walt Harris rounds

Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:02

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:03

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 73

Sig Strikes

16 / 58

63%

Sig Str %

26%

45 / 73

Total Strikes

16 / 58

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Walt Harris	15 / 54	15 / 54	0 / 0
1	Alexander Volkov	39 / 64	39 / 64	0 / 0
2	Walt Harris	1 / 4	1 / 4	0 / 1
2	Alexander Volkov	6 / 9	6 / 9	0 / 0

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights18

Walt Harris

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15