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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkov won · Decision R3
Elo1535
Alexander Volkov
Elo1562
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Alexander VolkovvsWaldo Cortes AcostaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA

Official fight result

Alexander Volkov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlexander Volkov: Well-roundedvsWaldo Cortes Acosta: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Alexander Volkov wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Waldo Cortes Acosta enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Volkov
Red Corner
VS
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1535
Elo
1562
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'7"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexander Volkov
oldest →
W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23
W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23
W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24
L
vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24
W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25
latest
Waldo Cortes AcostaW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 25
L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25
W
KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25
W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jan 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexander VolkovMetricWaldo Cortes Acosta
4.84
Strikes / min
5.34
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.40
68%
Takedown defense
73%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.94evenly matched on net striking+1.71
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901515154015651590← oldermost recent →
Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Waldo Cortes Acosta(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -26.2|Blue +26.2
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights18

Waldo Cortes Acosta

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7