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Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Alexander Volkov won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1535

Elo1391

Alexander VolkovvsStefan StruveUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · Saturday, September 2, 2017Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Alexander Volkov won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:30

Style matchupAlexander Volkov: Well-roundedvsStefan Struve: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Alexander Volkov wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexander Volkov at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stefan Struve has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Volkov

Red Corner

Stefan Struve

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1535

Elo

1391

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'7"

Height

6'11"

203.2 cm

Reach

213.36 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexander VolkovW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24

vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24

vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25

DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26

latest

Stefan StruveL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18

vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19

KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexander VolkovMetricStefan Struve

4.84

Strikes / min

3.12

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

4.04

54%

Strike defense

46%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.56

68%

Takedown defense

55%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.94Δ 2.86 — meaningful gap-0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexander VolkovStefan Struve

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Stefan Struve(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +144.9|Blue -144.9

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -189.0|Blue +189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexander VolkovTargetStefan Struve

By target zone

47% acc · 62%

Head

21% acc · 63%

67% acc · 13%

Body

30% acc · 20%

69% acc · 24%

Leg

70% acc · 17%

By position

114

53% acc · 84%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

27% acc · 2%

Clinch

64% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexander Volkov rounds

even

Stefan Struve rounds

Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns2

Control0:55

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes56

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

135 / 253

Sig Strikes

41 / 162

54.3%

Sig Str %

26.7%

144 / 264

Total Strikes

41 / 162

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Stefan Struve	14 / 58	14 / 58	0 / 0
1	Alexander Volkov	38 / 63	47 / 74	2 / 2
2	Stefan Struve	11 / 63	11 / 63	0 / 0
2	Alexander Volkov	56 / 118	56 / 118	0 / 0
3	Stefan Struve	16 / 41	16 / 41	0 / 0
3	Alexander Volkov	41 / 72	41 / 72	0 / 0

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights18

Stefan Struve

StanceOrthodox

Height83.0"

Reach84.0"

Fights20