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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alexander Volkov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1535

Elo1495

Alexander VolkovvsMarcin TyburaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Saturday, October 30, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Alexander Volkov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlexander Volkov: Well-roundedvsMarcin Tybura: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Alexander Volkov wins(65.9%)

Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexander Volkov at -260 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Volkov

Red Corner

Marcin Tybura

Blue Corner

-260

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1535

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'7"

Height

6'3"

203.2 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexander VolkovW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24

vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24

vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25

DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26

latest

Marcin TyburaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24

KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24

vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25

KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25

vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexander VolkovMetricMarcin Tybura

4.84

Strikes / min

3.56

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

3.26

54%

Strike defense

55%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

1.30

68%

Takedown defense

70%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.94Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexander VolkovMarcin Tybura

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +40.0|Blue -40.0

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexander VolkovTargetMarcin Tybura

By target zone

45% acc · 71%

Head

33% acc · 67%

100% acc · 24%

Body

88% acc · 26%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

80% acc · 7%

By position

47% acc · 72%

Distance

39% acc · 81%

82% acc · 24%

Clinch

61% acc · 19%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexander Volkov rounds

even

Marcin Tybura rounds

Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:38

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 2Marcin Tybura edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:06

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 3Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:16

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:47Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 139

Sig Strikes

58 / 139

53%

Sig Str %

40%

89 / 153

Total Strikes

73 / 157

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 16

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:00

Ctrl Time

2:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Marcin Tybura	9 / 35	14 / 41	0 / 3
1	Alexander Volkov	20 / 38	31 / 49	0 / 0
2	Marcin Tybura	28 / 63	35 / 70	0 / 7
2	Alexander Volkov	22 / 43	23 / 44	0 / 0
3	Marcin Tybura	21 / 41	24 / 46	0 / 6
3	Alexander Volkov	33 / 58	35 / 60	0 / 0

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights18

Marcin Tybura

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights24