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Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Alexander Volkov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1535

Elo1502

Alexander VolkovvsJairzinho RozenstruikUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, June 4, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alexander Volkov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:12

Style matchupAlexander Volkov: Well-roundedvsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Alexander Volkov wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexander Volkov at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Volkov

Red Corner

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1535

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'7"

Height

6'2"

203.2 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexander VolkovW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24

vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24

vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25

DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26

latest

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23

KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24

vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexander VolkovMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik

4.84

Strikes / min

3.48

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

54%

Strike defense

52%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.00

68%

Takedown defense

72%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.94Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexander VolkovJairzinho Rozenstruik

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +33.0|Blue -33.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexander VolkovTargetJairzinho Rozenstruik

By target zone

38% acc · 48%

Head

20% acc · 50%

100% acc · 24%

Body

100% acc · 29%

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

57% acc · 100%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexander Volkov rounds

even

Jairzinho Rozenstruik rounds

Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 37

Sig Strikes

6 / 18

56%

Sig Str %

33%

21 / 37

Total Strikes

6 / 18

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	6 / 18	6 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Alexander Volkov	21 / 37	21 / 37	0 / 0	0

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights18

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15