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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Alexander Volkanovski won · KO/TKO R4

Elo1521

Elo1474

Alexander VolkanovskivsChan Sung JungUFC Prediction Result

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, April 9, 2022Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Alexander Volkanovski won

KO/TKO · Round 4 · 0:45

Style matchupAlexander Volkanovski: Well-roundedvsChan Sung Jung: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Alexander Volkanovski wins(86.1%)

Actual result: Alexander Volkanovski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexander Volkanovski at -600 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chan Sung Jung is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Alexander Volkanovski has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Volkanovski

Red Corner

Chan Sung Jung

Blue Corner

-600

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+435

(19%)

1521

Elo

1474

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23

KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23

KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24

vs Diego Lopes · Apr 25

vs Diego Lopes · Jan 26

latest

Chan Sung Jung

oldest →

KOvs Renato Moicano · Jun 19

KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 19

vs Brian Ortega · Oct 20

vs Dan Ige · Jun 21

KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alexander VolkanovskiMetricChan Sung Jung

5.99

Strikes / min

3.93

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.52

58%

Strike defense

52%

1.63

TDs / 15 min

0.70

68%

Takedown defense

72%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.68Δ 3.27 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alexander VolkanovskiChan Sung Jung

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +46.9|Blue -46.9

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alexander VolkanovskiTargetChan Sung Jung

By target zone

102

60% acc · 74%

Head

30% acc · 65%

77% acc · 7%

Body

82% acc · 19%

90% acc · 19%

Leg

73% acc · 17%

By position

116

63% acc · 84%

Distance

36% acc · 92%

83% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

75% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alexander Volkanovski rounds

even

Chan Sung Jung rounds

Round 1Alexander Volkanovski edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns1

Control0:47

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alexander Volkanovski edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns2

Control1:22

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexander Volkanovski edged it

Sig. strikes57

Takedowns1

Control0:43

Knockdowns1

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 4Alexander Volkanovski edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

138 / 213

Sig Strikes

48 / 125

67%

Sig Str %

40.3%

152 / 228

Total Strikes

51 / 128

4 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:52

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chan Sung Jung	15 / 40	16 / 41	0 / 0
1	Alexander Volkanovski	37 / 54	40 / 57	1 / 2
2	Alexander Volkanovski	35 / 54	43 / 63	2 / 4
2	Chan Sung Jung	10 / 31	10 / 31	0 / 0
3	Chan Sung Jung	21 / 50	23 / 52	0 / 0
3	Alexander Volkanovski	57 / 93	60 / 96	1 / 2
4	Chan Sung Jung	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0
4	Alexander Volkanovski	9 / 12	9 / 12	0 / 0

Alexander Volkanovski

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights18

Chan Sung Jung

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights12