Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Viviane Araujo has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa Grasso
oldest →W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26 Viviane Araujo
oldest →L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23W
vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23L
vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24W
vs Karine Silva · Nov 24L
vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricViviane Araujo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.40Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap-0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexa GrassoViviane Araujo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.5|Blue -15.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexa GrassoTargetViviane Araujo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alexa Grasso edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Alexa Grasso edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:38Control
Round 3Alexa Grasso edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Viviane Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
