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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Alex Perez won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1498
Alex Perez
Elo1491

Alex PerezvsJose TorresUFC Prediction Result

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · Saturday, August 4, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Alex Perez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:46

Style matchupAlex Perez: WrestlervsJose Torres: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Alex Perez wins(78.0%)

Actual result: Alex Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Perez at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Alex Perez
Red Corner
VS
Jose Torres
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1498
Elo
1491
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alex Perez
oldest →
W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24
L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25
W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26
L
vs Sumudaerji · May 26
latest
Jose Torres
oldest →
W
KOvs Jarred Brooks · Jun 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alex PerezMetricJose Torres
4.41
Strikes / min
4.37
3.20
Strikes absorbed / min
9.84
59%
Strike defense
50%
2.21
TDs / 15 min
1.28
75%
Takedown defense
75%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.21Δ 6.68 — meaningful gap-5.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1530 vs 1516Strikes26.5 vs 22.0Takedowns3.5 vs 1.0Sub Atts1.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Alex PerezJose Torres

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Alex Perez(10 fights)Jose Torres(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +7.2|Blue -7.2
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red +97.0|Blue -97.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alex PerezTargetJose Torres

By target zone

67
48% acc · 80%
Head
22
33% acc · 76%
11
69% acc · 13%
Body
7
78% acc · 24%
6
86% acc · 7%
Leg
0

By position

64
48% acc · 76%
Distance
25
35% acc · 86%
20
69% acc · 24%
Clinch
4
80% acc · 14%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Alex Perez rounds
0
even
0
Jose Torres rounds
Round 1Alex Perez edged it
Sig. strikes84
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
84 / 162
Sig Strikes
29 / 76
51%
Sig Str %
38%
88 / 166
Total Strikes
30 / 77
0 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jose Torres29 / 7630 / 770 / 00
1Alex Perez84 / 16288 / 1660 / 30

Alex Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights16

Jose Torres

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights2