Welterweight

3 Rounds

Alex Morono won · U-DEC

Elo1478

Elo1489

Alex MoronovsRhys McKeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, November 14, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alex Morono won

U-DEC

Style matchupAlex Morono: Pressure fightervsRhys McKee: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(57.9%)

Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Morono at -177 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Rhys McKee has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alex Morono

Red Corner

Rhys McKee

Blue Corner

-177

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1478

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alex MoronoL4 streak

oldest →

vs Court McGee · Apr 24

vs Niko Price · Jun 24

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25

vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26

latest

Rhys McKee

oldest →

KOvs Khamzat Chimaev · Jul 20

vs Ange Loosa · Sep 23

vs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 24

KOvs Daniel Frunza · Apr 25

KOvs Axel Sola · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alex MoronoMetricRhys McKee

4.90

Strikes / min

4.71

4.88

Strikes absorbed / min

7.15

55%

Strike defense

47%

0.32

TDs / 15 min

0.00

47%

Takedown defense

47%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.02Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap-2.44

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alex MoronoRhys McKee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alex Morono(10 fights)Rhys McKee(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -11.8|Blue +11.8

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +168.0|Blue -168.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alex MoronoTargetRhys McKee

By target zone

146

51% acc · 83%

Head

45% acc · 65%

81% acc · 12%

Body

86% acc · 29%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

78% acc · 6%

By position

145

52% acc · 82%

Distance

117

53% acc · 94%

76% acc · 13%

Clinch

67% acc · 5%

75% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alex Morono rounds

even

Rhys McKee rounds

Round 1Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes61

Takedowns0

Control0:14

39Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 2Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes68

Takedowns1

Control0:05

51Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns2

Control2:15

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

176 / 321

Sig Strikes

124 / 230

54%

Sig Str %

53.7%

208 / 360

Total Strikes

133 / 242

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 3

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:34

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rhys McKee	39 / 89	39 / 91	0 / 1
1	Alex Morono	61 / 110	62 / 111	0 / 0
2	Rhys McKee	51 / 81	51 / 82	0 / 1
2	Alex Morono	68 / 120	72 / 126	1 / 1
3	Rhys McKee	34 / 60	43 / 69	0 / 1
3	Alex Morono	47 / 91	74 / 123	2 / 2

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights23

Rhys McKee

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6