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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Alex Morono won · U-DEC R3

Elo1478

Elo1485

Alex MoronovsMickey GallUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · Saturday, December 4, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alex Morono won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlex Morono: Pressure fightervsMickey Gall: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(57.5%)

Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Morono at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mickey Gall enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Alex Morono

Red Corner

Mickey Gall

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1478

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alex MoronoL4 streak

oldest →

vs Court McGee · Apr 24

vs Niko Price · Jun 24

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25

vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26

latest

Mickey GallL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mike Perry · Jun 20

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alex MoronoMetricMickey Gall

4.90

Strikes / min

3.50

4.88

Strikes absorbed / min

4.72

55%

Strike defense

49%

0.32

TDs / 15 min

1.15

47%

Takedown defense

37%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.02Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alex MoronoMickey Gall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alex Morono(10 fights)Mickey Gall(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -7.8|Blue +7.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alex MoronoTargetMickey Gall

By target zone

35% acc · 78%

Head

33% acc · 54%

64% acc · 20%

Body

78% acc · 43%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

38% acc · 91%

Distance

45% acc · 98%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

54% acc · 8%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alex Morono rounds

even

Mickey Gall rounds

Round 1Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control1:23

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

90 / 230

Sig Strikes

65 / 144

39.7%

Sig Str %

45%

93 / 233

Total Strikes

69 / 149

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:23

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mickey Gall	15 / 32	17 / 34	0 / 0
1	Alex Morono	26 / 56	29 / 59	0 / 0
2	Mickey Gall	23 / 47	24 / 48	0 / 1
2	Alex Morono	29 / 78	29 / 78	0 / 0
3	Mickey Gall	27 / 65	28 / 67	0 / 0
3	Alex Morono	35 / 96	35 / 96	0 / 0

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights23

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13