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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kalinn Williams won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1478
Elo1492

Alex MoronovsKalinn WilliamsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Saturday, February 8, 2020Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Kalinn Williams won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:27

Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(70.9%)

Actual result: Kalinn Williams wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Morono at -345 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Alex Morono
Red Corner
VS
Kalinn Williams
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
1478
Elo
1492
35
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alex MoronoL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 24
L
vs Niko Price · Jun 24
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24
L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25
L
vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26
latest
Kalinn WilliamsNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alex MoronoMetricKalinn Williams
4.90
Strikes / min
4.88
Strikes absorbed / min
55%
Strike defense
0.32
TDs / 15 min
47%
Takedown defense
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1564 vs 1500Strikes4.4 vs 0.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.00Form0.8 vs 0.0
Alex MoronoKalinn Williams

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Alex Morono(10 fights)Kalinn Williams(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.6|Blue +14.6
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -47.5|Blue +47.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights23

Kalinn Williams

No profile data.