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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Nadia Kassem won · U-DEC R3

Elo1368

Elo1377

Alex ChambersvsNadia KassemUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · Saturday, November 18, 2017Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Nadia Kassem won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Alex Chambers wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Nadia Kassem wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Chambers at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Chambers threatens submissions; Nadia Kassem has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Alex Chambers (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Alex Chambers

Red Corner

Nadia Kassem

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1368

Elo

1377

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'3"

Height

5'5"

160.02 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alex ChambersL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Aisling Daly · Dec 14

SUBvs Kailin Curran · May 15

SUBvs Paige VanZant · Sep 15

SUBvs Livinha Souza · Sep 18

latest

Nadia KassemL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 19

KOvs Ji Yeon Kim · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alex ChambersMetricNadia Kassem

2.97

Strikes / min

3.13

5.10

Strikes absorbed / min

4.48

50%

Strike defense

48%

2.31

TDs / 15 min

0.46

53%

Takedown defense

40%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

2.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.13evenly matched on net striking-1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alex ChambersNadia Kassem

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alex Chambers(5 fights)Nadia Kassem(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -9.0|Blue +9.0

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alex ChambersTargetNadia Kassem

By target zone

60% acc · 62%

Head

38% acc · 48%

91% acc · 22%

Body

63% acc · 33%

58% acc · 16%

Leg

77% acc · 19%

By position

57% acc · 64%

Distance

43% acc · 69%

40% acc · 4%

Clinch

79% acc · 21%

100% acc · 31%

Ground

63% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alex Chambers rounds

even

Nadia Kassem rounds

Round 1Alex Chambers edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control2:50

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control2:58

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Round 3Alex Chambers edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control1:54

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 70

Sig Strikes

52 / 105

60.3%

Sig Str %

52.7%

79 / 108

Total Strikes

134 / 204

4 / 7

TDs

0 / 1

55.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:42

Ctrl Time

1:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nadia Kassem	15 / 22	26 / 38	0 / 1	1
1	Alex Chambers	21 / 28	39 / 48	1 / 2	0
2	Nadia Kassem	18 / 36	64 / 88	0 / 0	5
2	Alex Chambers	6 / 14	10 / 20	2 / 3	0
3	Nadia Kassem	19 / 47	44 / 78	0 / 0	0
3	Alex Chambers	18 / 28	30 / 40	1 / 2	0

Alex Chambers

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights5

Nadia Kassem

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights3