← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Roman Kopylov won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1434

Elo1520

Alessio Di ChiricovsRoman KopylovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Saturday, September 3, 2022Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Roman Kopylov won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:09

Style matchupAlessio Di Chirico: Well-roundedvsRoman Kopylov: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Roman Kopylov wins(65.9%)

Actual result: Roman Kopylov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roman Kopylov at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alessio Di Chirico

Red Corner

Roman Kopylov

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1434

Elo

1520

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alessio Di Chirico

oldest →

vs Kevin Holland · Jun 19

vs Makhmud Muradov · Sep 19

vs Zak Cummings · Aug 20

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jan 21

KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Aug 21

latest

Roman Kopylov

oldest →

vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24

KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25

vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25

vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25

DECvs Marco Tulio · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alessio Di ChiricoMetricRoman Kopylov

3.32

Strikes / min

4.54

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

5.08

61%

Strike defense

53%

1.46

TDs / 15 min

1.12

83%

Takedown defense

88%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alessio Di ChiricoRoman Kopylov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alessio Di Chirico(10 fights)Roman Kopylov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -85.6|Blue +85.6

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alessio Di ChiricoTargetRoman Kopylov

By target zone

27% acc · 74%

Head

37% acc · 63%

50% acc · 15%

Body

100% acc · 20%

80% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

31% acc · 97%

Distance

47% acc · 93%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alessio Di Chirico rounds

even

Roman Kopylov rounds

Round 1Roman Kopylov edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:15

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:47

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Roman Kopylov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 126

Sig Strikes

59 / 122

30.3%

Sig Str %

49.7%

43 / 131

Total Strikes

66 / 129

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:02

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Roman Kopylov	20 / 32	21 / 33	0 / 0
1	Alessio Di Chirico	13 / 51	13 / 52	0 / 2
2	Roman Kopylov	21 / 51	27 / 57	0 / 0
2	Alessio Di Chirico	21 / 59	25 / 63	0 / 2
3	Roman Kopylov	18 / 39	18 / 39	0 / 0
3	Alessio Di Chirico	5 / 16	5 / 16	0 / 0

Alessio Di Chirico

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights11

Roman Kopylov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12