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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Bojan Velickovic won · U-DEC R3

Elo1434

Elo1363

Alessio Di ChiricovsBojan VelickovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · Sunday, April 10, 2016Zagreb, Croatia

Official fight result

Bojan Velickovic won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Alessio Di Chirico wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Bojan Velickovic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alessio Di Chirico at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alessio Di Chirico has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Bojan Velickovic (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alessio Di Chirico

Red Corner

Bojan Velickovic

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1434

Elo

1363

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alessio Di ChiricoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Makhmud Muradov · Sep 19

vs Zak Cummings · Aug 20

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jan 21

KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Aug 21

KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 22

latest

Bojan VelickovicL2 streak

oldest →

vs Sultan Aliev · Dec 16

KOvs Nico Musoke · May 17

vs Darren Till · Sep 17

vs Jake Matthews · Nov 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alessio Di ChiricoMetricBojan Velickovic

3.32

Strikes / min

2.18

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

2.31

61%

Strike defense

57%

1.46

TDs / 15 min

0.67

83%

Takedown defense

55%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.13

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alessio Di Chirico(10 fights)Bojan Velickovic(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +71.7|Blue -71.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alessio Di ChiricoTargetBojan Velickovic

By target zone

36% acc · 62%

Head

18% acc · 36%

64% acc · 25%

Body

53% acc · 20%

75% acc · 14%

Leg

69% acc · 44%

By position

43% acc · 94%

Distance

33% acc · 96%

67% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

67% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alessio Di Chirico rounds

even

Bojan Velickovic rounds

Round 1Alessio Di Chirico edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alessio Di Chirico edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:06

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:42Control

Round 3Alessio Di Chirico edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control0:21

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 148

Sig Strikes

45 / 135

43.7%

Sig Str %

32.3%

78 / 161

Total Strikes

56 / 148

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 5

75%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

0:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bojan Velickovic	20 / 49	20 / 49	0 / 0	0
1	Alessio Di Chirico	22 / 55	22 / 55	0 / 0	0
2	Bojan Velickovic	12 / 44	21 / 54	1 / 1	1
2	Alessio Di Chirico	20 / 46	26 / 52	1 / 1	0
3	Bojan Velickovic	13 / 42	15 / 45	0 / 4	0
3	Alessio Di Chirico	23 / 47	30 / 54	1 / 2	0

Alessio Di Chirico

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights11

Bojan Velickovic

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights5