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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Azamat Murzakanov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1471

Elo1536

Aleksandar RakicvsAzamat MurzakanovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Saturday, October 25, 2025Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Azamat Murzakanov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:11

Style matchupAleksandar Rakic: Well-roundedvsAzamat Murzakanov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Azamat Murzakanov wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Azamat Murzakanov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Azamat Murzakanov at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Azamat Murzakanov is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Aleksandar Rakic has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Azamat Murzakanov (53.5%).
Aleksandar Rakic has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Aleksandar Rakic

Red Corner

Azamat Murzakanov

Blue Corner

-118

(54%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1471

Elo

1536

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'4"

Height

5'10"

198.12 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aleksandar RakicL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Anthony Smith · Aug 20

vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24

latest

Azamat Murzakanov

oldest →

KOvs Devin Clark · Aug 22

vs Dustin Jacoby · Apr 23

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 24

KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Jun 25

KOvs Paulo Costa · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aleksandar RakicMetricAzamat Murzakanov

4.13

Strikes / min

4.40

2.86

Strikes absorbed / min

3.20

51%

Strike defense

56%

0.64

TDs / 15 min

0.68

85%

Takedown defense

88%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.27evenly matched on net striking+1.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Aleksandar RakicAzamat Murzakanov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)Azamat Murzakanov(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -64.2|Blue +64.2

Recent Form

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aleksandar RakicTargetAzamat Murzakanov

By target zone

0% acc

Head

17% acc · 33%

75% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 67%

86% acc · 67%

Leg

By position

62% acc · 89%

Distance

29% acc · 67%

100% acc · 11%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aleksandar Rakic rounds

even

Azamat Murzakanov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:36

Knockdowns0

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 14

Sig Strikes

3 / 8

64%

Sig Str %

37%

13 / 18

Total Strikes

4 / 9

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:36

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Azamat Murzakanov	3 / 8	4 / 9	0 / 0	0
1	Aleksandar Rakic	9 / 14	13 / 18	0 / 2	0

Aleksandar Rakic

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights11

Azamat Murzakanov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6