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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Nicolae Negumereanu won · S-DEC R3

Elo1469

Elo1499

Aleksa CamurvsNicolae NegumereanuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · Saturday, June 19, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nicolae Negumereanu won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAleksa Camur: Pressure fightervsNicolae Negumereanu: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Aleksa Camur wins(69.6%)

Actual result: Nicolae Negumereanu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aleksa Camur at -265 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Aleksa Camur has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nicolae Negumereanu has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Aleksa Camur

Red Corner

Nicolae Negumereanu

Blue Corner

-265

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1469

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aleksa CamurL2 streak

oldest →

vs Justin Ledet · Jan 20

vs William Knight · Sep 20

vs Tanner Boser · Aug 23

latest

Nicolae Negumereanu

oldest →

vs Saparbeg Safarov · Mar 19

KOvs Ike Villanueva · Oct 21

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 22

KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jul 22

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aleksa CamurMetricNicolae Negumereanu

4.73

Strikes / min

3.58

4.26

Strikes absorbed / min

5.56

54%

Strike defense

39%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

1.02

50%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.47Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap-1.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Aleksa CamurNicolae Negumereanu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aleksa Camur(4 fights)Nicolae Negumereanu(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -30.0|Blue +30.0

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -560.0|Blue +560.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aleksa CamurTargetNicolae Negumereanu

By target zone

62% acc · 67%

Head

36% acc · 92%

88% acc · 28%

Body

29% acc · 3%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

67% acc · 86%

Distance

34% acc · 86%

82% acc · 14%

Clinch

67% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aleksa Camur rounds

even

Nicolae Negumereanu rounds

Round 1Aleksa Camur edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 2Aleksa Camur edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:31Control

Round 3Aleksa Camur edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:35Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

102 / 148

Sig Strikes

71 / 193

70.7%

Sig Str %

37%

118 / 166

Total Strikes

99 / 224

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 5

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nicolae Negumereanu	29 / 78	32 / 81	1 / 2
1	Aleksa Camur	39 / 66	44 / 71	0 / 0
2	Nicolae Negumereanu	18 / 45	29 / 56	0 / 2
2	Aleksa Camur	32 / 40	37 / 46	0 / 0
3	Nicolae Negumereanu	24 / 70	38 / 87	0 / 1
3	Aleksa Camur	31 / 42	37 / 49	0 / 2

Aleksa Camur

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4

Nicolae Negumereanu

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6